Florida Real Estate & Market Update
Friday, October 16, 2026 | South Florida • Orlando • Tampa Bay • Statewide
The Opportunities Others May Be Missing
After seven consecutive weeks of rising mortgage rates, we finally saw some encouraging movement Thursday.
According to Mortgage News Daily, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate declined to approximately 7.33%, compared with 7.45% Wednesday and 7.59% on October 7.
That’s a meaningful improvement in a relatively short period.
Does it mean mortgage rates have peaked? We don’t know.
But it does mean that a buyer who couldn’t quite make the numbers work last week may deserve another look today.
And that brings me to something I’ve been thinking about.
We’re spending a great deal of time discussing what’s difficult about today’s real estate market. Affordability, insurance, condominium assessments, financing restrictions and the uncertainty surrounding interest rates.
Those challenges are real.
But we’re not spending nearly enough time discussing the opportunities that exist within those challenges.
Sometimes the greatest opportunity isn’t finding a different property. It’s finding a better way to finance the property you’ve already found.
That’s where I want to focus this week’s update.
Florida Housing Market: The Market Is Splitting, Not Simply Slowing
The latest complete statewide housing statistics available as this edition was prepared are for August. Florida Realtors is scheduled to release September and third-quarter figures today.
August showed a Florida housing market that was adjusting rather than moving uniformly in one direction.
Statewide single-family closed sales declined approximately 1.5% year over year, while condominium and townhouse sales declined just under 2%.
At the same time, available inventory contracted.
Single-family inventory declined approximately 13% from a year earlier, and condominium and townhouse inventory fell approximately 11.5%.
The statewide median single-family sale price was approximately $415,000.
These numbers suggest that even as affordability continues to affect transactions, available supply remains an important factor supporting prices.
But statewide averages only tell part of the story.
South Florida: Two Very Different Markets
Consider Palm Beach and Broward Counties.
In August, Palm Beach County had approximately 3.5 months of single-family inventory, compared with 6.7 months for condominiums.
Broward County had approximately 4.1 months of single-family inventory and nearly 10 months for condominiums.
Think about what that means from a negotiating standpoint.
A buyer looking for a desirable single-family home in Boca Raton may face considerably different conditions than someone purchasing an older condominium in Pompano Beach.
And a luxury buyer in Palm Beach County, where cash transactions remain significant, may be making decisions based on entirely different considerations.
The market isn’t simply strong or weak. It’s increasingly segmented.
The Realtor who understands those distinctions has an advantage.
Orlando and Tampa Bay: Different Markets Require Different Strategies
As we expand this newsletter statewide, we’ll be looking more closely at Orlando, Tampa Bay and other Florida metropolitan markets.
One important consideration in Orlando is the competition between resale homes and new construction.
Builders may offer financing incentives that can materially affect a buyer’s monthly payment.
In Tampa Bay, property insurance, roof condition, flood exposure and other ownership costs can influence affordability just as much as the purchase price.
The lesson is straightforward.
We can’t evaluate every Florida transaction using the same assumptions.
And that’s precisely why local market knowledge and financing expertise need to work together.
Market Insight: Before Reducing the Price, Consider the Financing
Let’s consider a $500,000 home.
The seller has been on the market longer than expected and is considering a $10,000 price reduction.
That may be the right strategy.
But let’s evaluate another possibility.
What if the seller offered $10,000 toward the buyer’s closing costs or a permanent interest-rate buydown?
Assuming 90% financing, reducing the purchase price by $10,000 would lower the mortgage amount by approximately $9,000.
At a 7.5% interest rate over 30 years, that’s roughly $63 per month in principal-and-interest savings.
Now compare that with using the same $10,000 toward a permanent rate buydown.
Depending on the lender’s pricing, the loan program and the borrower’s qualifications, the monthly savings could be greater.
Seller concessions have limits, and every scenario needs to be evaluated individually.
But here’s my point.
Before recommending a price reduction, let’s determine whether the same dollars could accomplish more through the financing.
For the seller, the cost may be similar.
For the buyer, the monthly-payment difference could be meaningful.
And with mortgage rates improving Thursday, this is an especially good time to revisit financing scenarios that may have been evaluated at higher rates.
The Condominium Opportunity Realtors May Be Overlooking
We’ve heard plenty about the difficulties in Florida’s condominium market.
Higher association fees, special assessments, insurance expenses, structural requirements and stricter conventional lending guidelines have created legitimate challenges.
But there’s another side of this story.
The non-QM condominium financing market is considerably more flexible than many Realtors and buyers realize.
A number of lenders offer financing up to 90% loan-to-value on qualifying non-warrantable condominiums.
That means certain buyers may be able to purchase with as little as 10% down, even when the condominium doesn’t meet traditional conventional financing requirements.
And these programs aren’t limited to one type of borrower.
Depending on the lender, the project and the borrower’s qualifications, available options may include full-documentation financing, bank-statement qualification, profit-and-loss statements, 1099 income and other alternative-documentation programs.
Think about the opportunity.
A buyer finds a condominium in a desirable location.
The price is attractive.
The association fees are manageable.
The building isn’t facing extraordinary assessments or significant deferred-maintenance issues.
But the buyer is told conventional financing isn’t available.
That doesn’t necessarily mean the property can’t be financed.
A non-warrantable condominium may still qualify for alternative financing.
Of course, we need to evaluate the project’s financial condition, insurance, structural issues, assessments and lender requirements. Non-QM financing isn’t a way around genuine property or safety concerns.
But not every condominium is facing extraordinary ownership costs.
And a well-priced condominium with reasonable association expenses and access to flexible financing could represent one of the more interesting opportunities in today’s Florida market.
Before eliminating a condominium because someone says it isn’t warrantable, let’s examine the available financing options.
There may be another path.
For Realtors, that could mean transactions that otherwise never happen.
Self-Employed Buyers: There’s More Than One Way to Qualify
Florida has an enormous population of entrepreneurs, business owners, independent contractors and commission-based professionals.
And some of these borrowers are financially stronger than their tax returns might suggest.
Realtors themselves are a perfect example.
A successful Realtor may earn substantial 1099 income but have difficulty qualifying through traditional mortgage underwriting.
The same challenge can affect contractors, consultants, small-business owners and other self-employed professionals.
That’s where non-QM financing can make a difference.
Depending on the lender and the borrower’s qualifications, we may be able to evaluate income through bank statements, profit-and-loss statements, 1099 earnings or other approved documentation.
Certain programs offer financing up to 90% loan-to-value for qualifying borrowers and properties.
That doesn’t mean everyone qualifies, or that every documentation program offers the same terms.
But it does mean that some buyers who believe they need 20% or 25% down may have alternatives.
And here’s something I particularly want my Realtor partners to understand.
Sometimes the value I can provide isn’t helping you finance your client’s home. It’s helping you finance your own.
If you’re self-employed and have been putting off purchasing or refinancing because of the way your income appears on your tax returns, let’s have that conversation.
We may have options worth exploring.
Mortgage Rates: Thursday’s Improvement Is Worth Paying Attention To
After several weeks of rising rates, Thursday brought a meaningful improvement in mortgage pricing.
Freddie Mac’s weekly survey reported a 30-year fixed average of 7.40%, unchanged from the prior week.
But Mortgage News Daily’s more current daily index showed the average 30-year fixed rate declining to approximately 7.33% Thursday.
That compares with 7.59% on October 7.
The improvement coincided with lower longer-term Treasury yields and more favorable conditions in the bond market.
The 10-year Treasury is an important benchmark for mortgage financing, although mortgage rates don’t move point-for-point with Treasury yields. Mortgage-backed securities, investor demand and lender pricing also influence the rates available to borrowers.
Let’s put the improvement into perspective.
On a $450,000 mortgage amortized over 30 years, the approximate principal-and-interest payments would be:
| Interest Rate | Monthly P&I |
|---|---|
| 7.59% | $3,171 |
| 7.33% | $3,092 |
| Monthly difference | $79 |
These are illustrative payments, excluding taxes, insurance, mortgage insurance and loan costs.
A $79 monthly improvement isn’t going to solve every affordability problem.
But combine it with a negotiated seller concession or a more favorable purchase price, and the numbers may begin to look different.
That’s why I encourage Realtors to have their buyers’ financing reviewed before making an offer, particularly when market conditions have changed.
Rate is a component, not the goal.
The goal is finding a financing structure that works for the individual buyer.
And while Thursday’s improvement is encouraging, one favorable day doesn’t establish a lasting trend.
Preparation remains more valuable than prediction.
Technology & Business Growth for Realtors
Is Your Expertise Visible When Buyers Ask AI for Help?
Something important is changing in how consumers find real estate professionals.
They’re no longer limited to searching for a Realtor by city or browsing a directory.
Increasingly, they’re asking AI systems specific questions.
Who specializes in waterfront homes in Boca Raton?
Who understands investment properties in Orlando?
Who has experience with condominiums in Tampa?
Who can help a self-employed buyer purchase a home?
These questions create opportunities for Realtors whose expertise is clearly established online.
But being a good Realtor and being discoverable online are two different things.
Your Google Business Profile, website, professional biography, reviews, LinkedIn presence, social media and published content all help establish your professional identity.
And consistency matters.
I’ve been working on tools specifically designed to help Realtors evaluate their online presence, identify areas for improvement and begin building greater visibility.
These tools are available to my Realtor partners.
If you’d like to explore how visible you are today—and what you might do to improve that visibility—reach out.
We can have a conversation about your business, look at your current digital presence and identify practical next steps.
Nobody can guarantee that an AI platform will recommend a particular Realtor.
But we can work toward making your experience and expertise easier to find and understand.
You don’t need to become an AI expert.
You need to make sure your existing expertise isn’t invisible.
Around Florida This Weekend
Florida’s lifestyle continues to be one of its greatest attractions.
This weekend, communities throughout the state are celebrating the season with festivals, outdoor markets, music and local events.
In Palm Beach County, Oktoberfest of the Palm Beaches continues October 16–18 at the American German Club in Lake Worth.
The West Palm Beach GreenMarket returns Saturday morning along the downtown waterfront.
And in Tampa, the annual Tampa Pig Jig brings music, food and charitable fundraising to Julian B. Lane Riverfront Park on Saturday.
These events remind us of something that doesn’t appear in a housing report.
People don’t move to Florida simply because of a house.
They move here because of a life.
The house becomes the address where that life happens.
Final Thought: Opportunity Requires a Different Conversation
There are plenty of reasons for buyers and sellers to be cautious in today’s market.
Affordability remains challenging.
Insurance and association costs matter.
Mortgage rates are still elevated compared with the unusually low rates we experienced several years ago.
And some properties require financing solutions that go beyond traditional lending guidelines.
But none of those challenges means opportunity has disappeared.
Sometimes the opportunity is a seller concession rather than a price reduction.
Sometimes it’s a condominium that conventional financing doesn’t accommodate.
Sometimes it’s recognizing that a self-employed borrower has more qualifying options than they realized.
And sometimes it’s simply revisiting the financing after mortgage rates improve.
After more than four decades in real estate finance, I’ve learned that the most important part of our business isn’t predicting what happens next.
It’s understanding the situation in front of us and helping people make informed decisions.
Complete Evaluation. Complete Clarity. Complete Mortgage.
If you have a buyer whose financing needs updating, a seller considering concessions, a condominium that’s been turned down for conventional financing or a self-employed borrower who needs a different approach, let’s talk.
And if you’d like to begin improving your online and AI visibility, I have tools available to help you get started.
Have a great weekend.
About the Author
Clay Edmonds is the Corporate Educator and Complete Mortgage Advisor at Complete Mortgage LLC in Hollywood, Florida, and the creator of MortgageSimplified.net. With over four decades of experience in real estate finance, Clay focuses on simplifying the mortgage process and helping borrowers and real estate professionals make smarter financing decisions.
Contact: clay@completemrtg.com




